With a deep squad and the WC2018 in tow, France are the likeliest to win the Euro 2020 – as per a prediction model. While that is hardly surprising, the fact that England have been ranked only ninth is bound to raise a few eyebrows.
As per Stats Perform’s Euro 2020 AI prediction model, France are the likeliest team to win the competition. The model took several factors into account, including betting odds, historical and recent team performances, opposition strength, and the road to the final before rendering it 40,000 times. The final standings were derived upon analysis of the outcomes.
Didier Deschamps’ France, who won the 2018 FIFA World Cup and reached the final of the 2016 UEFA Euro, have the highest likelihood of winning the tournament. The model predicts a 20.4 per cent chance that France will win the competition, five per cent more than any other team. Belgium come in second with a probability of 15.7. The Red Devils finished third in the 2018 World Cup, but Euro 2020 presents their golden generation with perhaps the final chance to win an international trophy.
Despite missing their captain Sergio Ramos, Spain are ranked third by the model with an 11.3 per cent chance of winning the competition. However, Luis Enrique’s team is currently dealing with a minor Covid outbreak after the virus infected Barcelona star Sergio Busquets. Spain have called up six reserves to train with the Euro squad to account for a possible mass outbreak.
Euro 2016 winners Portugal are ranked fifth as per the model. Cristiano Ronaldo-led Selecao have a marginally less than 10 per cent chance of winning the competition. Joachim Low’s Germany are slightly above them as per the model. Italy, who won all of their qualifying matches, have been given a 7.6 per cent chance.
The biggest surprise comes in the form of England, who are ranked ninth as per the Stats Perform model. The Three Lions have just a 5.2 percent chance of winning their first trophy since 1966, which, surprisingly, is fewer than Denmark.
